Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 2.139008 2.438565 2.764769 3.146357 3.580523 4.059201 4.627109
2025-09-14 1.627315 2.023390 2.492824 3.090238 3.830569 4.718364 5.864803
2025-09-21 1.352829 1.785725 2.329612 3.063151 4.027228 5.252173 6.929047
2025-09-28 1.153118 1.598705 2.185990 3.016743 4.162584 5.689244 7.881717
2025-10-05 1.086492 1.571897 2.238793 3.222010 4.636138 6.599413 9.538582
2025-10-12 0.979012 1.471565 2.173950 3.248637 4.853457 7.165197 10.757451
2025-10-19 0.914271 1.423035 2.173611 3.361605 5.197466 7.932548 12.329694
2025-10-26 0.826346 1.328483 2.092997 3.341682 5.333639 8.395350 13.475370
2025-11-02 0.752998 1.247806 2.023714 3.328851 5.473735 8.868212 14.669176
2025-11-09 0.679207 1.158183 1.930468 3.266104 5.523612 9.196162 15.649745
2025-11-16 0.634682 1.112024 1.902265 3.305443 5.741114 9.808411 17.147128
2025-11-23 0.595980 1.071593 1.879051 3.349294 5.967023 10.448636 18.741397
2025-11-30 0.544600 1.007840 1.816647 3.331146 6.104996 10.987442 20.279094
2025-12-07 0.491458 0.936128 1.734607 3.272269 6.169405 11.412423 21.674692
2025-12-14 0.449230 0.879609 1.673418 3.243564 6.282968 11.931203 23.287371
2025-12-21 0.409276 0.822896 1.605696 3.194428 6.350750 12.367568 24.780910
2025-12-28 0.405617 0.836562 1.672574 3.411766 6.954296 13.874514 28.509785
2026-01-04 0.380406 0.804136 1.646060 3.439959 7.183218 14.670637 30.889675
2026-01-11 0.367071 0.794615 1.663966 3.559570 7.608282 15.893669 34.261279
2026-01-18 0.340937 0.755299 1.616970 3.538475 7.736499 16.520140 36.435111
2026-01-25 0.317936 0.720345 1.575609 3.524890 7.878342 17.185638 38.754045
2026-02-01 0.292516 0.677416 1.513034 3.458453 7.897413 17.588842 40.530608
2026-02-08 0.278083 0.657855 1.499561 3.500106 8.161052 18.547087 43.647661